Stablecoins: The "Printing Machine" Business of the Crypto and Stock Markets#
Many beginners may find "stablecoins" complex, but in essence, they are digital versions of the US dollar or Chinese yuan. Their prices are relatively stable, but the business scale behind them far exceeds expectations.
1. Issuing Stablecoins is Easy, Using Them is Hard#
The globally leading stablecoin USDT has faced skepticism and FUD multiple times in its history.
At one extreme, when 1 US dollar exchanged for 7 Chinese yuan, USDT once dropped to over 5 yuan.
Despite this, USDT maintains its dominant position.
The second-ranked USDC is primarily used for financial management on Coinbase.
The profitability gap is evident:
- Tether (the issuer of USDT) has an annual profit of 14 billion USD
- Circle (the issuer of USDC) has an annual profit of 140 million USD
- The gap is as high as 99%
Why such a disparity?
Because USDT issuance incurs no channel fees, and all government bond interest income belongs to them.
In contrast, Circle must use 90% of its income to purchase "slots" on exchanges (like Binance and Coinbase).
2. US Companies Also Want to "Print Money"#
Many US-listed companies hope to issue their own stablecoins, which is not surprising.
If used solely for stock trading, the cost of applying for a license is relatively low and could even boost stock prices by 30%.
3. Stablecoins + Proprietary Chains = Double Impact#
Almost all stablecoin projects will create dedicated blockchains.
As early as 2022, I planned to build a chain using USDT; the idea was recognized but lacked investment.
Now, Tether and Circle have put it into practice.
Why do stablecoins need dedicated chains?
My planning at the time was as follows:
- DEX native trading pairs based on /USDT, with more stable prices
- USDT holders can become nodes and earn Gas fees
- USDT as a Gas token, no authorization needed, higher security (unless the private key is leaked)
4. The Terrifying Scenario of Big Companies Entering the Market#
Imagine the following scenarios:
- Meituan Chain: Supports a yuan stablecoin, with tens of millions of riders' salaries directly paid in stablecoins, Meituan immediately gains a large-scale user chain.
- Apple Chain: Apple issues a dollar stablecoin, allowing global developers to recharge and spend with one click via Apple Pay.
This is not a fantasy, but a real possibility.
Once realized, it will create new opportunities similar to those of Meituan or Apple.
5. First PR, Then Harvest#
If established stablecoin companies like Tether and Circle collaborate with giants like Apple and Google before they awaken, they will achieve explosive growth.
For example:
If Apple holds hundreds of billions of USD in cash and entrusts Circle to issue stablecoins,
the full interest on US government bonds would be returned to Apple, and the issuance of USDC would instantly surpass USDT, causing Circle's stock price to soar.
6. Opportunities for New Players#
New entrants must find breakthroughs,
such as partnering with major companies, integrating specific scenarios, or collaborating with the government.
7. The Possibility of National-Level Players#
Suppose the Chinese government issues a dollar stablecoin and controls 90% of the supply,
it would be equivalent to directly participating in the "printing money" business of the United States.
Although it takes time to understand, it is not impossible.
8. The Chaos Has Just Begun#
Stablecoins are not just a business; they are also part of sovereignty.
Once the commercial ceiling is broken, it will enter the realm of national-level games.
Just like the emergence of atomic bombs in the cold weapon era, all rules will be overturned.
9. If Nothing Happens...#
If everything develops as usual, Tether will eventually become the largest company in the world.
Based on Circle's highest price-to-earnings ratio, Tether's valuation could reach 6 trillion USD, surpassing Nvidia.
The increase of USDT from 150 billion to 1.5 trillion is just a matter of time.
But can Apple sell 10 times more iPhones?
10. If You Don't Understand, You Will Lose#
Many large companies will eventually find that, although they haven't made mistakes, the landscape has changed.
Because—
The best business in the world is printing money,
Better than printing money is digital printing without paper,
And better than digital printing is—printing money using others' credit,
With the risks borne by others, and the profits all to oneself.
Stablecoins are one of the most profitable tracks in the crypto and stock markets in the future.
It's not too late to understand now.
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